Modal Verbs for Speculation (Present)
We use these modal verbs when we are not 100% sure about a fact, but we are making a "guess" or "deduction" based on the evidence we see.
1. Almost Certain (Positive) — MUST
Use must when you are nearly sure that something is true because the evidence is very strong.
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Meaning: "I am sure it is..."
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Example: "The chef is sweating and looks unhappy. He must have too many dishes to prepare." (It is the only logical explanation).
2. Possible (Maybe) — COULD / MAY / MIGHT
Use these when you think something is possible, but you aren't sure.
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Meaning: "Perhaps" or "It is possible."
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Note: Might is slightly less certain than could or may.
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Example: "The restaurant may be closed now." (It's a possibility, but I haven't checked).
3. Almost Certain (Negative) — CAN'T
Use can't when you are nearly sure that something is impossible or not true.
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Meaning: "I am sure it isn't..."
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Crucial Rule (WATCH OUT!): The opposite of must for speculation is can't, NOT mustn't.
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Example: "The customer can't be sleeping because she is still eating her meal." (It is impossible to eat while sleeping).
Grammar Structures
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For a State or Fact:
Modal + Infinitive (be/have/do)-
Example: "This must be real bread."
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For an Action Happening Now:
Modal + be + -ing-
Example: "She might be working in the garden."
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Examples:
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It’s possible the restaurant is closed now.
The restaurant may be closed now.
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I’m sure this isn’t the same recipe we used last time.
This can’t be the same recipe we used last time.
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I’m sure the chef doesn’t want the dish to be bland.
The chef can’t want the dish to be bland.
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It’s possible avocados are ripe at this time of year.
Avocados could / might be ripe at this time of year.
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I’m sure the chef is trying hard to prepare the food quickly.
The chef must be trying hard to prepare the food quickly.
Summary Table
| Degree of Certainty | Modal Verb | Meaning |
| Very Sure (+) | Must | I'm sure it's true |
| Possible | Could / May / Might | It's possibly true |
| Very Sure (-) | Can't | I'm sure it's impossible |